Combat Edge Intelligence

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem vs Ryan McGillivray

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record12-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
TBDTeamJackson-Wink MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemNow 1562
If they win+24→ 1586
If they lose-24→ 1538
Ryan McGillivrayNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1482 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
21%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.20
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
44%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Eslam Mostafa Abdel MenemRyan McGillivray
150015502010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (17%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
2 (33%)
Submission
10 (83%)
3 (50%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem66%
Ryan McGillivray 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 66% favorite over Ryan McGillivray in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1562 vs 1562), separated by just 0 points.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Ryan McGillivray 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.