Evan Dunham vs Leandro Higo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-9-1Record23-8-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'8"
70,0"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamPitbull Brothers
What's at stake
Evan Dunham is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Leandro Higo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1681
If they lose-13→ 1657
If they win+17→ 1669
If they lose-15→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1667 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1600 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Evan DunhamLeandro Higo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leandro Higo63%
Evan Dunham 37%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Higo a 63% favorite over Evan Dunham in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evan Dunham's way (47%).
Evan Dunham holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1670 to 1652, a 18-point edge.
Evan Dunham enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Leandro Higo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Evan Dunham finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Higo 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.