Combat Edge Intelligence

Evangelista Santos vs Kiefer Crosbie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-18-0Record10-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute Boxe Team CyborgTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Evangelista SantosNow 1570
If they win+12→ 1582
If they lose-12→ 1558
Kiefer CrosbieNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1615 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
6.61
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.49
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.69
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Evangelista SantosKiefer Crosbie
15501600201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
4 (19%)
Submission
2 (20%)
3 (14%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Kiefer Crosbie53%
Evangelista Santos 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kiefer Crosbie a 53% favorite over Evangelista Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Evangelista Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1567), separated by just 3 points.

Evangelista Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Kiefer Crosbie enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Evangelista Santos finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Kiefer Crosbie 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.