Fabian Edwards vs Nursulton Ruziboev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-4-0Record37-9-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'5"
79"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team RenegadeTeamUZB Patriot
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabian EdwardsNursulton Ruziboev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nursulton Ruziboev60%
Fabian Edwards 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Nursulton Ruziboev a 60% favorite over Fabian Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabian Edwards's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1727), separated by just 4 points.
Nursulton Ruziboev enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Fabian Edwards finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Nursulton Ruziboev 92%.
Fabian Edwards carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.