Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabiano Iha vs Yancy Medeiros

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReach75"
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
TBDTeamTeam Hakuilua

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabiano IhaNow 1611
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Yancy MedeirosNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1672 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.73
Sig. strikes / min
4.36
47%
Strike accuracy
37%
2.49
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.67
43%
Strike defense
47%
2.88
Takedown avg.
0.33
40%
Takedown accuracy
17%
50%
Takedown defense
74%
2.88
Submission avg.
0.65

Trajectory

Fabiano IhaYancy Medeiros
1600200420052006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (30%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
7 (70%)
Submission
4 (25%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Fabiano Iha53%
Yancy Medeiros 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Fabiano Iha a 53% favorite over Yancy Medeiros in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1610), separated by just 1 points.

Fabiano Iha enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Fabiano Iha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yancy Medeiros 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.