Fabio Cherant vs Jesse Murray
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-5-0Record10-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
250 lbsWeight206 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamStrongstyle MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1556
If they lose-16→ 1524
If they win+16→ 1566
If they lose-16→ 1534
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabio CherantJesse Murray
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jesse Murray56%
Fabio Cherant 44%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jesse Murray a 56% favorite over Fabio Cherant in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1540 vs 1550), separated by just 10 points.
Fabio Cherant enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Fabio Cherant finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Jesse Murray 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.