Fabio Gurgel vs Karl Albrektsson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-2-0Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReach75.50"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
AllianceTeamPancrase Gym Sweden
What's at stake
Fabio Gurgel is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Karl Albrektsson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1551
If they lose-25→ 1503
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1614 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabio GurgelKarl Albrektsson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fabio Gurgel and Karl Albrektsson within a point of even.
Fabio Gurgel holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1528 to 1509, a 19-point edge.
Fabio Gurgel enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Karl Albrektsson enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fabio Gurgel finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Karl Albrektsson 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.