Combat Edge Intelligence

Fábio Maldonado vs Henrique da Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

28-18-0Record19-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach43,0"
227 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team MaldonadoTeamRoxo Striker

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fábio MaldonadoNow 1563
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
Henrique da SilvaNow 1558
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.29
Sig. strikes / min
3.89
59%
Strike accuracy
60%
4.31
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.28
54%
Strike defense
40%
0.44
Takedown avg.
0.25
57%
Takedown accuracy
14%
62%
Takedown defense
22%
0.55
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Fábio MaldonadoHenrique da Silva
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

19 (68%)
KO/TKO
17 (89%)
2 (7%)
Submission
1 (5%)
7 (25%)
Decision
1 (5%)

Combat Edge model read

Henrique da Silva70%
Fábio Maldonado 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Henrique da Silva a 70% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1558), separated by just 5 points.

Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Henrique da Silva enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Henrique da Silva 95%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.