Fábio Maldonado vs Norbert Pietrzak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0 Record 3-1-0
Heavyweight Division Light Heavyweight
6'1" Height 6'3"
75" Reach -
227 lbs Weight 206 lbs
Team Maldonado Team Pro-Core HQ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1575
If they lose-12→ 1551
If they win+25→ 1578
If they lose-23→ 1530
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fábio Maldonado Norbert Pietrzak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norbert Pietrzak83%
Fábio Maldonado17%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 83% favorite over Fábio Maldonado in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fábio Maldonado's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1553), separated by just 10 points.
Fábio Maldonado enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Fábio Maldonado finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.