Combat Edge Intelligence

Fabricio Camoes vs Kyle Prepolec

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-1Record18-10-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
39,5"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
Gracie HumaitaTeamMaximum Training Centre

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fabricio CamoesNow 1576
If they win+12→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1564
Kyle PrepolecNow 1577
If they win+16→ 1593
If they lose-16→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
33%
Strike accuracy
36%
1.85
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.19
61%
Strike defense
49%
2.34
Takedown avg.
0
32%
Takedown accuracy
0%
20%
Takedown defense
40%
1.46
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fabricio CamoesKyle Prepolec
16002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (29%)
KO/TKO
10 (56%)
7 (50%)
Submission
4 (22%)
3 (21%)
Decision
4 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Kyle Prepolec62%
Fabricio Camoes 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Prepolec a 62% favorite over Fabricio Camoes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1577), separated by just 1 points.

Fabricio Camoes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Kyle Prepolec enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Fabricio Camoes finishes 79% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Prepolec 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.