Fabrício Werdum vs Ivan Shtyrkov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-10-1Record23-2-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
45,0"ReachTBD
246 lbsWeight237 lbs
Werdum Combat TeamTeamArchangel Michael Club
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1815
If they lose-12→ 1791
If they win+12→ 1804
If they lose-12→ 1780
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1725 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fabrício WerdumIvan Shtyrkov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ivan Shtyrkov61%
Fabrício Werdum 39%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Ivan Shtyrkov a 61% favorite over Fabrício Werdum in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fabrício Werdum's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1803 vs 1792), separated by just 11 points.
Ivan Shtyrkov enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Fabrício Werdum finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ivan Shtyrkov 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.