Combat Edge Intelligence

Falaniko Vitale vs Tom Breese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

30-11-0Record18-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
808 Top TeamTeamTeam Renegade

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Falaniko VitaleNow 1660
If they win+12→ 1672
If they lose-12→ 1648
Tom BreeseNow 1662
If they win+12→ 1674
If they lose-12→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.31
Sig. strikes / min
3.34
20%
Strike accuracy
51%
9.38
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
48%
Strike defense
61%
0
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
86%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Falaniko VitaleTom Breese
1650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (28%)
12 (40%)
Submission
12 (67%)
4 (13%)
Decision
1 (6%)

Combat Edge model read

Tom Breese70%
Falaniko Vitale 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tom Breese a 70% favorite over Falaniko Vitale in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1660 vs 1662), separated by just 2 points.

Tom Breese enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Falaniko Vitale finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Tom Breese 94%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.