Fares Ziam vs Mochamed Machaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-5-0Record17-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'7"
75″Reach-
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGym 23
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fares ZiamMochamed Machaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mochamed Machaev70%
Fares Ziam 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mochamed Machaev a 70% favorite over Fares Ziam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fares Ziam's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1709), separated by just 2 points.
Mochamed Machaev enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mochamed Machaev 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.