Combat Edge Intelligence

Fares Ziam vs Nurullo Aliev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Fares Ziam
fr

Fares Ziam

“Smile Killer”

18-5-0LightweightUFC

1711Good

Tale of the tape

18-5-0Record11-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'10"
75″Reach72"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamKaizen MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fares ZiamNow 1711
If they win+16→ 1727
If they lose-16→ 1695
Nurullo AlievNow 1715
If they win+16→ 1731
If they lose-16→ 1699

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.87
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
53%
Strike accuracy
45%
1.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.63
65%
Strike defense
58%
1.73
Takedown avg.
2.12
41%
Takedown accuracy
19%
71%
Takedown defense
80%
0.46
Submission avg.
0.30

Trajectory

Fares ZiamNurullo Aliev
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (39%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
4 (22%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (39%)
Decision
9 (82%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Fares Ziam and Nurullo Aliev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1711 vs 1715), separated by just 4 points.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Fares Ziam finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Nurullo Aliev 18%.

Fares Ziam carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.