Farshad Nazarnia
Elo1611SolidFarshad Nazarnia vs Gilbert Smith
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1611Solid
Tale of the tape
5-1-0Record13-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Unit MMATeamTeam Victory
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1523 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1553 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Farshad NazarniaGilbert Smith
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Farshad Nazarnia62%
Gilbert Smith 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 62% favorite over Gilbert Smith in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gilbert Smith's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.
Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Gilbert Smith 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.