Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Joseph Luciano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-Reach74"
186 lbsWeight185 lbs
The Unit MMATeamAbsolute MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1611
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Joseph LucianoNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaJoseph Luciano
1500155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
1 (20%)
Submission
6 (60%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Farshad Nazarnia and Joseph Luciano within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Joseph Luciano 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.