Combat Edge Intelligence

Farshad Nazarnia vs Teddy Ash

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Teddy Ash
ca

Teddy Ash

“Bear”

14-5-0MiddleweightDWCS

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record14-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'1"
-ReachTBD
186 lbsWeight183 lbs
The Unit MMATeamShaved Bears MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Farshad NazarniaNow 1611
If they win+24→ 1635
If they lose-24→ 1587
Teddy AshNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1523 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.27
TBD
Strike accuracy
62%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.80
TBD
Strike defense
28%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Farshad NazarniaTeddy Ash
15001550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (71%)
1 (20%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (40%)
Decision
3 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Farshad Nazarnia62%
Teddy Ash 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Farshad Nazarnia a 62% favorite over Teddy Ash in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Teddy Ash's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1611 vs 1612), separated by just 1 points.

Farshad Nazarnia enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Teddy Ash enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Farshad Nazarnia finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Teddy Ash 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.