Combat Edge Intelligence

Felice Herrig vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record10-5-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'0"
65"Reach61"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Team CurranTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felice HerrigNow 1556
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
Montserrat Conejo RuizNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1624 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.84
Sig. strikes / min
0.79
38%
Strike accuracy
27%
5.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.96
48%
Strike defense
38%
1.08
Takedown avg.
2.05
29%
Takedown accuracy
83%
75%
Takedown defense
33%
0.81
Submission avg.
0.82

Trajectory

Felice HerrigMontserrat Conejo Ruiz
155020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
3 (30%)
4 (29%)
Submission
2 (20%)
9 (64%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz57%
Felice Herrig 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Montserrat Conejo Ruiz a 57% favorite over Felice Herrig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felice Herrig's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1548), separated by just 8 points.

Felice Herrig enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Felice Herrig finishes 36% of wins inside the distance, Montserrat Conejo Ruiz 50%.

Felice Herrig carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.