Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Bunes vs Jared Papazian

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record20-14-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight135 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe BunesNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Jared PapazianNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
51%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.81
45%
Strike defense
45%
1.13
Takedown avg.
0
22%
Takedown accuracy
0%
40%
Takedown defense
50%
2.26
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Felipe BunesJared Papazian
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
6 (30%)
9 (69%)
Submission
2 (10%)
2 (15%)
Decision
12 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Bunes66%
Jared Papazian 34%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Bunes a 66% favorite over Jared Papazian in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jared Papazian enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Bunes finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Jared Papazian 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.