Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Bunes vs Juancamilo Ronderos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record4-2-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'3"
69"Reach64,5"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe BunesNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Juancamilo RonderosNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.18
51%
Strike accuracy
31%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.18
45%
Strike defense
64%
1.13
Takedown avg.
2.72
22%
Takedown accuracy
33%
40%
Takedown defense
0%
2.26
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Felipe BunesJuancamilo Ronderos
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
9 (69%)
Submission
2 (50%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Juancamilo Ronderos55%
Felipe Bunes 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Juancamilo Ronderos a 55% favorite over Felipe Bunes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Felipe Bunes's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1555), separated by just 0 points.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Juancamilo Ronderos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Bunes finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Juancamilo Ronderos 50%.

Felipe Bunes carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.