Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Bunes vs Paddy Holohan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-9-0Record12-2-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'9"
69"Reach39.00
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamSBG Ireland

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe BunesNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Paddy HolohanNow 1551
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.93
Sig. strikes / min
2.13
51%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.81
45%
Strike defense
46%
1.13
Takedown avg.
2.88
22%
Takedown accuracy
48%
40%
Takedown defense
71%
2.26
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Felipe BunesPaddy Holohan
15001550201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (15%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
9 (69%)
Submission
8 (67%)
2 (15%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Bunes57%
Paddy Holohan 43%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Bunes a 57% favorite over Paddy Holohan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.

Felipe Bunes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Bunes finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Holohan 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.