Felipe dos Santos vs Jordan Espinosa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record15-10-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach38,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamLuttrell-Yee MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1605
If they lose-25→ 1557
If they win+12→ 1584
If they lose-12→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe dos SantosJordan Espinosa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe dos Santos70%
Jordan Espinosa 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe dos Santos a 70% favorite over Jordan Espinosa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1572), separated by just 10 points.
Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jordan Espinosa enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Espinosa 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.