Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe dos Santos vs Zach Makovsky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record21-12-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'4"
70"Reach64,0"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Chute Boxe Diego LimaTeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe dos SantosNow 1582
If they win+24→ 1606
If they lose-24→ 1558
Zach MakovskyNow 1585
If they win+12→ 1597
If they lose-12→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.87
Sig. strikes / min
1.94
37%
Strike accuracy
43%
3.78
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.24
42%
Strike defense
62%
0
Takedown avg.
3.71
0%
Takedown accuracy
31%
14%
Takedown defense
57%
0.33
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Felipe dos SantosZach Makovsky
16002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (25%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
3 (38%)
Submission
7 (33%)
3 (38%)
Decision
13 (62%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe dos Santos70%
Zach Makovsky 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe dos Santos a 70% favorite over Zach Makovsky in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Zach Makovsky's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1582 vs 1585), separated by just 3 points.

Felipe dos Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Zach Makovsky enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Felipe dos Santos finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Zach Makovsky 38%.

Felipe dos Santos carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.