Felipe Franco vs Ian Freeman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-2-0Record20-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamMachine MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Felipe FrancoIan Freeman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Felipe Franco70%
Ian Freeman 30%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 70% favorite over Ian Freeman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ian Freeman's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1648), separated by just 4 points.
Ian Freeman enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ian Freeman 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.