Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Josh Copeland

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record18-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamGrudge Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Josh CopelandNow 1653
If they win+12→ 1665
If they lose-12→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1575 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
1.03
51%
Strike accuracy
32%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.01
38%
Strike defense
55%
3.02
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
88%
Takedown defense
57%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoJosh Copeland
1550160016501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
4 (40%)
Submission
5 (28%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco70%
Josh Copeland 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 70% favorite over Josh Copeland in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Copeland's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1653), separated by just 7 points.

Josh Copeland enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Josh Copeland 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.