Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Rob Broughton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record16-7-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamAtherton Submission Wrestling

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1646
If they win+16→ 1662
If they lose-16→ 1630
Rob BroughtonNow 1642
If they win+12→ 1654
If they lose-12→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.83
51%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
38%
Strike defense
52%
3.02
Takedown avg.
0
0%
Takedown accuracy
0%
88%
Takedown defense
27%
0
Submission avg.
3.24

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoRob Broughton
15501600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (50%)
4 (40%)
Submission
5 (31%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco72%
Rob Broughton 28%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 72% favorite over Rob Broughton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1646 vs 1642), separated by just 4 points.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Rob Broughton 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.