Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Shamil Abdurakhimov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record20-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'3"
76"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight263 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamPeresvet FT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Shamil AbdurakhimovNow 1650
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
2.41
51%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
38%
Strike defense
55%
3.02
Takedown avg.
1.01
0%
Takedown accuracy
23%
88%
Takedown defense
45%
0
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoShamil Abdurakhimov
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
4 (40%)
Submission
4 (20%)
0 (0%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco70%
Shamil Abdurakhimov 30%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 70% favorite over Shamil Abdurakhimov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Shamil Abdurakhimov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1650), separated by just 6 points.

Shamil Abdurakhimov enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Abdurakhimov 65%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.