Combat Edge Intelligence

Felipe Franco vs Yoshihiro Nakao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record9-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight215 lbs
Galpao da LutaTeamTeam Tackler

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Felipe FrancoNow 1644
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Yoshihiro NakaoNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.55
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
38%
Strike defense
TBD
3.02
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
88%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Felipe FrancoYoshihiro Nakao
155016001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
4 (44%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (22%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Felipe Franco70%
Yoshihiro Nakao 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Felipe Franco a 70% favorite over Yoshihiro Nakao in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1642), separated by just 2 points.

Felipe Franco finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Yoshihiro Nakao 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.