Filip Pejic vs Paddy Rutledge
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-8-2Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'8"
71,0"Reach-
152 lbsWeight135 lbs
American Top Team ZagrebTeamSutemi MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1563
If they lose-16→ 1531
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Filip PejicPaddy Rutledge
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paddy Rutledge67%
Filip Pejic 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Rutledge a 67% favorite over Filip Pejic in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Filip Pejic's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1546), separated by just 1 points.
Filip Pejic finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Rutledge 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.