Forrest Petz vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-10-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
TBDReach72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamShore MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Forrest PetzOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oban Elliott70%
Forrest Petz 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 70% favorite over Forrest Petz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Forrest Petz's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1650 vs 1650), separated by just 0 points.
Oban Elliott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Forrest Petz finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.