Combat Edge Intelligence

Francimar Barroso vs Leonardo Silva

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-7-1Record22-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
75.00Reach75"
262 lbsWeight206 lbs
GOR MMATeamChina Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francimar BarrosoNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576
Leonardo SilvaNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1619 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.77
Sig. strikes / min
1.07
53%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.54
59%
Strike defense
50%
2.22
Takedown avg.
24.11
24%
Takedown accuracy
50%
83%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francimar BarrosoLeonardo Silva
15001550160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (46%)
KO/TKO
12 (55%)
5 (19%)
Submission
4 (18%)
9 (35%)
Decision
6 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Leonardo Silva56%
Francimar Barroso 44%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Leonardo Silva a 56% favorite over Francimar Barroso in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francimar Barroso's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1592 vs 1588), separated by just 4 points.

Francimar Barroso enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Leonardo Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Francimar Barroso finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Leonardo Silva 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.