Francisco Bueno vs Sean Rose
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
5-2-0Record2-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReachN/A
222 lbsWeight264 lbs
Chico Bueno TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
Francisco Bueno is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Sean Rose carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1522
If they lose-26→ 1474
If they win+26→ 1498
If they lose-22→ 1450
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1604 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco BuenoSean Rose
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean Rose56%
Francisco Bueno 44%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean Rose a 56% favorite over Francisco Bueno in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Francisco Bueno's way (46%).
Francisco Bueno holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1500 to 1472, a 28-point edge.
Francisco Bueno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Francisco Bueno finishes 100% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.