Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco France vs Josh Fremd

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-5-1Record11-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
38,0"Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Power MMA TeamTeamFactory X

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco FranceNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Josh FremdNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1605 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.58
Sig. strikes / min
2.52
41%
Strike accuracy
44%
5.66
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
53%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
0.66
0%
Takedown accuracy
25%
25%
Takedown defense
30%
0.44
Submission avg.
1.09

Trajectory

Francisco FranceJosh Fremd
160016502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
12 (92%)
Submission
4 (36%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Josh Fremd60%
Francisco France 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Josh Fremd a 60% favorite over Francisco France in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1610), separated by just 3 points.

Francisco France enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Josh Fremd enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Francisco France finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Josh Fremd 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.