Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Prado vs Kemran Lachinov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record10-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
69"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamTeam Link

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco PradoNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Kemran LachinovNow 1651
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.09
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.94
Takedown avg.
TBD
19%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.47
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Francisco PradoKemran Lachinov
16001650170020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
6 (50%)
Submission
3 (30%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Francisco Prado62%
Kemran Lachinov 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francisco Prado a 62% favorite over Kemran Lachinov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.

Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Kemran Lachinov 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.