Francisco Prado vs Oban Elliott
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-5-0Record12-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
69"Reach72"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamShore MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+16→ 1666
If they lose-16→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Francisco PradoOban Elliott
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Francisco Prado and Oban Elliott within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1650), separated by just 2 points.
Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Oban Elliott enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Oban Elliott 50%.
Oban Elliott carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.