Combat Edge Intelligence

Francisco Prado vs Ty Miller

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ty Miller
us

Ty Miller

“Thriller”

7-0-0WelterweightUFC

1654Good

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record7-0-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
69"Reach77"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamFit NHB

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Francisco PradoNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Ty MillerNow 1654
If they win+24→ 1678
If they lose-24→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1608 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.09
Sig. strikes / min
5.60
44%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.95
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.80
55%
Strike defense
70%
0.94
Takedown avg.
0
19%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0.47
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Francisco PradoTy Miller
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
6 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Francisco Prado and Ty Miller within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1654), separated by just 2 points.

Francisco Prado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ty Miller enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Francisco Prado finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 43%.

Ty Miller carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.