Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Pete Williams

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record12-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'3"
79"ReachTBD
262 lbsWeight225 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamLion's Den

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Pete WilliamsNow 1632
If they win+15→ 1647
If they lose-17→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1579 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
0.61
47%
Strike accuracy
63%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.77
39%
Strike defense
40%
2.02
Takedown avg.
1.84
40%
Takedown accuracy
40%
55%
Takedown defense
17%
2.02
Submission avg.
0.92

Trajectory

Frank MirPete Williams
1600165020002001200220032004200520062007200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
6 (50%)
9 (50%)
Submission
4 (33%)
4 (22%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Frank Mir51%
Pete Williams 49%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Frank Mir a 51% favorite over Pete Williams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Pete Williams's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1632), separated by just 12 points.

Pete Williams enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Pete Williams 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.