Combat Edge Intelligence

Frank Mir vs Steven Asplund

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record7-2-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'5"
79"Reach78"
262 lbsWeight261 lbs
Frank Mir GymTeamMcCune's Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frank MirNow 1620
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Steven AsplundNow 1620
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1704 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.18
Sig. strikes / min
19.93
47%
Strike accuracy
59%
3.84
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.49
39%
Strike defense
58%
2.02
Takedown avg.
0
40%
Takedown accuracy
0%
55%
Takedown defense
100%
2.02
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Frank MirSteven Asplund
15501600165020192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (28%)
KO/TKO
6 (86%)
9 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (22%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Steven Asplund70%
Frank Mir 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Steven Asplund a 70% favorite over Frank Mir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frank Mir's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.

Frank Mir finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Steven Asplund 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.