Combat Edge Intelligence

Frankie Perez vs Matt Frevola

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Frevola
us

Matt Frevola

“The Steamrolla”

11-6-1LightweightUFC

1637Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record11-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
40,0"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Ricardo Almeida Jiu-JitsuTeamGracie Tampa South

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Frankie PerezNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Matt FrevolaNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1680 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.64
Sig. strikes / min
3.37
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.17
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.69
54%
Strike defense
57%
1.75
Takedown avg.
2.39
42%
Takedown accuracy
39%
50%
Takedown defense
36%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.96

Trajectory

Frankie PerezMatt Frevola
165017002016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
4 (36%)
6 (55%)
Submission
3 (27%)
3 (27%)
Decision
4 (36%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Frevola52%
Frankie Perez 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Frevola a 52% favorite over Frankie Perez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Frankie Perez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1637), separated by just 0 points.

Matt Frevola enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Frankie Perez finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Matt Frevola 64%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.