Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Hovhannes Voskanyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record10-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight172 lbs
GriphouseTeamErmak

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Hovhannes VoskanyanNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonHovhannes Voskanyan
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
1 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson72%
Hovhannes Voskanyan 28%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 72% favorite over Hovhannes Voskanyan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hovhannes Voskanyan's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1568), separated by just 4 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Hovhannes Voskanyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Hovhannes Voskanyan 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.