Combat Edge Intelligence

Fraser Paterson vs Michael Kuiper

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record15-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
GriphouseTeamTeam Topfighter

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Fraser PatersonNow 1564
If they win+24→ 1588
If they lose-24→ 1540
Michael KuiperNow 1558
If they win+16→ 1574
If they lose-16→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.28
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.62
TBD
Strike defense
54%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.30
TBD
Takedown accuracy
56%
TBD
Takedown defense
79%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Fraser PatersonMichael Kuiper
155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (60%)
1 (50%)
Submission
5 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Fraser Paterson84%
Michael Kuiper 16%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Fraser Paterson a 84% favorite over Michael Kuiper in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1558), separated by just 6 points.

Fraser Paterson enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Kuiper 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.