Fredy Serrano vs Malik Basahel
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record3-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'5"
65,0"Reach67"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
MMA ColombiaTeamAsylum Vale Tudo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1605
If they lose-24→ 1557
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1545 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Fredy SerranoMalik Basahel
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Malik Basahel67%
Fredy Serrano 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Malik Basahel a 67% favorite over Fredy Serrano in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Fredy Serrano's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1581 vs 1578), separated by just 3 points.
Malik Basahel enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Fredy Serrano finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Malik Basahel 100%.
Malik Basahel carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.