Combat Edge Intelligence

Gable Steveson vs Ricardo Prasel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-0-0Record13-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'7"
-ReachTBD
265 lbsWeight244 lbs
La Bodega Fight ClubTeamAlemao Brothers

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gable StevesonNow 1578
If they win+24→ 1602
If they lose-24→ 1554
Ricardo PraselNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1493 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1578 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.21
TBD
Strike accuracy
58%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.83
TBD
Strike defense
37%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Gable StevesonRicardo Prasel
1550160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (31%)
0 (0%)
Submission
9 (69%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Gable Steveson72%
Ricardo Prasel 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gable Steveson a 72% favorite over Ricardo Prasel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1578 vs 1576), separated by just 2 points.

Gable Steveson enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Ricardo Prasel enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gable Steveson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Prasel 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.