Gabriel Gonzaga vs Tai Tuivasa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-12-0Record14-10-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
42,0"Reach75"
264 lbsWeight265 lbs
Team LinkTeamLions High Performance Centre
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600
If they win+16→ 1627
If they lose-16→ 1595
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1682 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriel GonzagaTai Tuivasa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tai Tuivasa70%
Gabriel Gonzaga 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Tai Tuivasa a 70% favorite over Gabriel Gonzaga in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gabriel Gonzaga's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1611), separated by just 1 points.
Gabriel Gonzaga enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tai Tuivasa enters on a 7-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Gonzaga finishes 94% of wins inside the distance, Tai Tuivasa 93%.
Gabriel Gonzaga and Tai Tuivasa share 1 common opponent: Derrick Lewis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.