Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriele Galluccio vs Hermes Franca

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record26-20-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shoot Team AcademyTeamVictory MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriele GalluccioNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Hermes FrancaNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.85
TBD
Strike defense
55%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.53
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
38%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.38

Trajectory

Gabriele GalluccioHermes Franca
150015501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (31%)
1 (13%)
Submission
15 (58%)
4 (50%)
Decision
3 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriele Galluccio84%
Hermes Franca 16%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Galluccio a 84% favorite over Hermes Franca in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Hermes Franca's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1549), separated by just 2 points.

Hermes Franca enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriele Galluccio finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Hermes Franca 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.