Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriele Galluccio vs Jeremy Stephens

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record29-23-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach71"
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Shoot Team AcademyTeamAlliance MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriele GalluccioNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Jeremy StephensNow 1551
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1684 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.15
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.14
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
38%
TBD
Takedown defense
62%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.37

Trajectory

Gabriele GalluccioJeremy Stephens
15001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
19 (66%)
1 (13%)
Submission
2 (7%)
4 (50%)
Decision
8 (28%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriele Galluccio76%
Jeremy Stephens 24%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Galluccio a 76% favorite over Jeremy Stephens in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jeremy Stephens's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1551), separated by just 4 points.

Jeremy Stephens enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Gabriele Galluccio finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Jeremy Stephens 72%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.