Combat Edge Intelligence

Gabriele Galluccio vs Joe Duarte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joe Duarte
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Joe Duarte

“The Hybrid”

10-4-0LightweightBFC

1552Solid

Tale of the tape

8-3-0Record10-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight155 lbs
Shoot Team AcademyTeamThe Arena

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gabriele GalluccioNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523
Joe DuarteNow 1552
If they win+24→ 1576
If they lose-24→ 1528

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Gabriele GalluccioJoe Duarte
150015501600201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
1 (13%)
Submission
6 (60%)
4 (50%)
Decision
2 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

Gabriele Galluccio79%
Joe Duarte 21%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Galluccio a 79% favorite over Joe Duarte in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joe Duarte's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1552), separated by just 5 points.

Joe Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gabriele Galluccio finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Joe Duarte 80%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.