Gabriele Galluccio vs Paul Kelly
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record15-5-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight169 lbs
Shoot Team AcademyTeamTeam Kaobon
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1570
If they lose-25→ 1522
If they win+17→ 1551
If they lose-15→ 1519
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1505 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gabriele GalluccioPaul Kelly
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriele Galluccio84%
Paul Kelly 16%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriele Galluccio a 84% favorite over Paul Kelly in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1547 vs 1534), separated by just 13 points.
Paul Kelly enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Gabriele Galluccio finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Paul Kelly 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.