Gadzhi Rabadanov vs John Castañeda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
27-5-1Record21-8-1
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
71"Reach71"
156 lbsWeight135 lbs
Abdulmanap Nurmagomedov SchoolTeamThe Academy
What's at stake
Gadzhi Rabadanov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — John Castañeda carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1782
If they lose-15→ 1758
If they win+15→ 1711
If they lose-9→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Gadzhi RabadanovJohn Castañeda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gadzhi Rabadanov75%
John Castañeda 25%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Gadzhi Rabadanov a 75% favorite over John Castañeda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Gadzhi Rabadanov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1773 to 1696, a 77-point edge.
Gadzhi Rabadanov finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, John Castañeda 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.