Combat Edge Intelligence

Gadzhimurad Antigulov vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

20-11-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'4"
40,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
American Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Gadzhimurad AntigulovNow 1596
If they win+12→ 1608
If they lose-12→ 1584
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.08
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
55%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.21
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
40%
Strike defense
47%
5.08
Takedown avg.
4.21
37%
Takedown accuracy
47%
0%
Takedown defense
33%
1.45
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Gadzhimurad AntigulovTuco Tokkos
160020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
14 (70%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (5%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos62%
Gadzhimurad Antigulov 38%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 62% favorite over Gadzhimurad Antigulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Gadzhimurad Antigulov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1596 vs 1592), separated by just 4 points.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Gadzhimurad Antigulov finishes 95% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.